"These Events Are Also Being Followed In The Palace In Minsk"
- 23.06.2025, 8:06
The dictator has "no good cards to play."
The ayatollahs in Iran have chosen the path of becoming hostages to their insane dream of having nuclear weapons at any cost, writes Telegram channel "Nick and Mike".
The regime has now lost even the most fortified facilities of the nuclear program, which has eaten up tens of billions of dollars.
The top brass does not want to negotiate. Now it is up to the army to stop all this outrage.
The world community faces a fork in the road - what to do with Rahbar. Eliminate it or change it. Elimination, many believe, could lead the country to unpredictable consequences. Everyone is frightened by the prospect of a second Iraq, but on a larger scale. Since there is "no opposition" in the country. Therefore, replacement by a softer Rahbar is seen as the lesser of evils.
But this is a very serious mistake. Yes, Rahbar is important. However, he is not the only regime without whose deconstruction nothing will change in Iran. There is no opposition in Iran, but there is a mass of those who remember that Iran was a fairly secular state before the Islamic Revolution. The regime, in which one important link will be replaced, needs a complete deconstruction - the destruction of the theocratic superstructure and the complete ban and exclusion from political life of the terrorist structures of the IRGC. The fate of Rahbar in this case turns into a false fork in the road.
Without this, one way or another Iran will enter another circle, with fewer opportunities but more cunning.
These events are being watched both in Lukashenko's palace and in Moscow. Actually, the visit of Keith Kellogg is an attempt of the dictator to ask for a deal, which they themselves buried in February-March of this year. Lukashenko, to put it in modern parlance "has no good cards," and his big brother's cards can be reset with proper determination and planning. Hence a new round of balancing policy. Only if before he was scaring the west with Russia, now he is trying to scare Russia and the US with China. And, yes, the U.S. allows full control of Belarus by Russia, but is painfully aware of China's strengthening.
Next week we will witness a new round of this game. Putin will come to Minsk, Lukashenko will sell him the mantra "Kozlevich's priests are seducing him" and demand money for loyalty. Nothing new, only the external conditions have changed. The U.S. has shown that it is better not to disrupt deals, and Russia does not have the resources to support a stubborn vassal. So much so that Lukashenko tried to sell the modest scale of the West 2025 exercises for his contribution to de-escalation of the situation in the region.