"This Flywheel Will Kill The Bear."

• 17.07.2025, 7:54

"Black Swan" for Russia is on its way.

At one time, the Soviet Union collapsed because of the fall in the price of oil and the arms race. There is no point in even comparing the financial capabilities of Russia and the West, so in an arms race it is obvious who will win, military expert Petr Chernik expressed his point of view.

The expert emphasized that it is the arms race that will most likely lead to the fall of Putin's Russia, and not just the fall of the oil price, as it was with the Soviet Union.

Peter Chernik's opinion can be found in his interview for the "Army TV" channel on YouTube.

The military expert clearly showed Russia's weakness against the collective West: "Where is the moment here that will have a historical aspect in terms of the arms race? Let's go back in time a little bit. The Soviet Union suffered a global collapse under two circumstances. We have dealt with energy (low oil price) a thousand times, but we have never dealt with the arms race, and now we are going to deal with it for the first time. The Soviet Union spent almost 15% of its GDP on this arms race, despite the fact that it was a large power, 250 million population, the second superstate, and could not withstand this arms race.

Petr Chernik expressed his opinion on what will lead to the collapse of Russia: "How can Russia with its GDP of $2.5 trillion with such a large flywheel compete with a monster (the U.S. and Europe have a combined GDP of $50 trillion)? Putin once reflected that the collapse of the Soviet Union was a geopolitical catastrophe of historical order, and we lost 49% of our heavy industry. Now that they produce almost nothing of their own, how does this competition hold up? This is the historical aspect that confirms that this flywheel will sooner or later finish off the bear".